Accountability22 March 20264 min read

CAL's Numbers Still Don't Add Up

By R.A. Dorvil

Caribbean Airlines Boeing 737-800 at Piarco International Airport

Caribbean Airlines Boeing 737-800 at Piarco International Airport - Wikimedia Commons

The 2026 national budget allocated $626.84 million for Caribbean Airlines loan principal repayment. That is more than triple the $200.8 million allocated in 2025. It also includes $70 million for the CAL airbridge subsidy - the service connecting Trinidad and Tobago across the strait.

These are large numbers for an airline that has not published audited financial statements in over eight years.

The Audit Gap

CAL's last set of audited financials covers the period ending in approximately 2017. Since then, the airline has operated, received government funding, restructured its fleet, and undergone leadership changes - all without the public having access to independently verified financial data.

This is not a minor administrative backlog. Audited financials are how shareholders - in this case, the people of Trinidad and Tobago through the government - verify that money was spent as reported, that debts are accurately stated, and that operating assumptions are sound. Without them, every claim about CAL's financial health is an assertion, not a fact.

The new board, installed after the UNC took office in April 2025, committed to bringing audited financials up to date and making them public. Multiple ministers have referenced this commitment. As of March 2026, no audited financials have been published.

The Two-Year Clock

In August 2025, Prime Minister Persad-Bissessar issued what was described as a two-year ultimatum for CAL to demonstrate a turnaround. The clock started. An operational review is reportedly underway. A new board is in place.

But a turnaround requires a baseline - a verified starting point from which progress can be measured. Without audited financials, the public has no way to assess whether CAL is improving, deteriorating, or staying the same. The two-year ultimatum measures time. It cannot measure progress without data.

What $626 Million Buys

The tripling of the loan allocation - from $200.8 million to $626.84 million - is the single most visible line item associated with CAL in the 2026 budget. Finance Minister Tancoo presented it as part of restoring fiscal stability.

What it represents in practice is debt servicing. This is money going to lenders, not to new aircraft, route expansion, or operational improvement. The allocation tells us that CAL's debt burden is significant enough to require a threefold increase in repayment, but without audited accounts, the public cannot assess the total outstanding debt, the terms, or whether the repayment schedule is adequate.

The $70 million airbridge subsidy is a separate line item. The inter-island service operates at a loss. This is understood and accepted by most Trinbagonians as a public service obligation. But the subsidy amount has varied over the years, and without transparent financials, it is impossible to assess whether $70 million reflects actual operating costs or includes cross-subsidies for other CAL operations.

A Pattern of Promises

CAL has been through this cycle before. New leadership arrives. Commitments are made to transparency, operational efficiency, and financial accountability. Time passes. The financials do not appear. Government funding continues. The next leadership transition resets the clock.

What distinguishes this cycle is the scale of the budget allocation. $626 million in loan repayment is not a holding pattern - it is a significant fiscal commitment. The question is whether this money is buying a genuine restructuring or servicing debts accumulated during years of opaque operations.

The airline employs hundreds of Trinbagonians. The airbridge is essential infrastructure connecting Trinidad and Tobago. The regional routes serve diaspora communities across the Caribbean and into North America. Nobody wants CAL to fail. But wanting it to succeed and being able to verify that it is succeeding are different things.

What Would Transparency Look Like

The ask is not complicated. Publish the audited financial statements - all of them, from the last audited period to the present. Disclose the total outstanding debt, the lenders, the interest rates, and the maturity schedule. Publish the operational review findings. Set measurable targets for the two-year turnaround that the public can track.

None of this requires new legislation. None of this requires restructuring. It requires a decision to release information that already exists - or should exist - inside the airline's records.

The new board says the right things. The budget allocates the money. But until the numbers are public, CAL's turnaround is a narrative, not a balance sheet. And narratives, unlike audits, do not have to add up.

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